I am an Associate Professor in the School of Geography and the Environment (online profile) and a Fellow of Hertford College, University of Oxford. My research focuses on understanding and predicting changes in fluvial systems and floods in the context of contemporary shifts in climate and land cover. My approach is statistical and computational; I use a variety of ‘Big data’ sources to disentangle the different drivers of flooding and fluvial change across a variety of climates and land use types. Using Earth Observation and ensemble Climate Model predictions I also develop probabilistic forecasts to assess how floods and fluvial systems may change over a range of timescales. I have a keen interest in data science and in developing new, interdisciplinary methods for understanding and projecting fluvial and hydro-climatic change. On these webpages you will find updates on my current research (below), Publications, Outreach and Media activities, Conference talks, and a short CV.
Research “Hylight”: Q&A for the Young Hydrologic Society
On Thurs. 11 February 2016, I’ll present “Climatic, hydrologic and geomorphic drivers of trends in flood hazards (UK/USA)” for the University of Minnesota Department of Earth Sciences 2015-2016 Seminar Series.
On Wed. 23 March 2016, I will present our new model for “Seasonal discharge forecasting in an agricultural watershed” at the Iowa Flood Center.
On 1 July 2015 I will begin a new position as a postdoctoral research scholar in G. Villarini’s group at the Iowa Institute for Hydraulic research (IIHR – Hydroscience & Engineering, UIowa) in Iowa City. I will be working on the following research areas:
- Streamflow/flood forecasting over relatively long lead times (monthly-seasonal), using the North-American multi-model ensemble (NMME) data
- Assessing the skill of the NMME
- Quantifying the agricultural/demographic drivers of flood losses