Two new papers in the last month:
Courty, L., Wilby, R., Hillier, J., Slater, L.J. (2019) Intensity-Duration-Frequency curves at the global scale, Environmental Research Letters, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab370a
Khouakhi, A., Villarini, G., Zhang, W., Slater, L.J. (2019) Seasonal predictability of high sea level frequency from Nino3.4 along the U.S. West coast, Advances in Water Resources. doi: 10.1016/j.advwatres.2019.07.007
I’m delighted to announce that I have just taken on the role of Chair for the Oxford Water Network (OWN), which includes 150 academics across the university. The role involves setting the agenda for water research across the University, heading the OWN leadership team, overseeing our events (seminars, conferences, and other activities), and growing the network (partners, members, and beyond). OWN is also one of Oxford’s Networks for the Environment (ONE). Please do reach out if you are interested!
Our two-day workshop in Loughborough on Seasonal Forecasting of Water Resources – Meeting User Needs (24-25 January) was attended by 43 participants from a diverse range of organisations (CEH, ECMWF, EA, SEPA, NRW, NCAS, National Farmers’ Union, Canal & River Trust, SMHI, Civil Protection Agency), water agencies/ consultancies (Anglian Water Services, Scottish Water, CH2M, South West Water Ltd), and universities (Maynooth, Reading, Coventry, Loughborough, Colima, Newcastle, West of England, WSL), with delegates from six countries (UK, Ireland, Mexico, Italy, Switzerland, Sweden). The event was co-sponsored by the RCUK Drought Programme, Water@Loughborough, Water@Reading, and the British Hydrological Society.
We are planning to write a summary of the meeting for the British Hydrological Society’s newsletter Circulation, a Letter to NERC, and an opinion paper.
For more pictures of the event, please see the #SeasonalForecasting hashtag on Twitter!
A workshop on ‘Seasonal forecasting: Meeting User Needs’ is being held on 24th-25th January 2018 at Loughborough University (UK), co-sponsored by the British Hydrological Society, the RCUK Drought and Water Scarcity Programme, Water @ Loughborough, and Water @ Reading.
The aim of this workshop is to focus on the seasonal forecast needs of users and practitioners, and to identify ways of improving the dissemination, uptake and operationalisation of seasonal forecasts by the water and agricultural sectors.
Confirmed speakers include:
- The EFAS seasonal forecasting system (Louise Arnal, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts)
- Advancing the science behind operational seasonal forecasting: the Hydrological Outlook UK (Jamie Hannaford, Centre for Ecology and Hydrology)
- Seasonal forecasting for effective water management on the canal network (David Mould, Canal & River Trust)
- Seasonal weather forecasts and British farming (Ceris Jones, National Farmers’ Union)
- The Global Flood Awareness System (Rebecca Emerton, Water @ Reading University)
- Ensemble projections, scenarios and forecasts: operational assessment of water resources prospects (Richard Davis and Karen James, Environment Agency)
- Improving seasonal drought forecasting for user-decision making: The IMPETUS, EdGE and ENDOWS projects (Shaun Harrigan, Simon Parry, Centre for Ecology and Hydrology)
Abstract submission: Abstracts for oral and poster presentations are welcomed. Please send your abstract (up to 300 words) including title, authors and affiliations to SeasonalForecasting@lboro.ac.uk by Friday 15th December 2017.
For more information, please email: SeasonalForecasting@lboro.ac.uk
Further details/registration: https://www.ice.org.uk/events/seasonal-forecasting-meeting-user-needs
Two new NERC-funded PhD positions starting in 2018 are available with me and colleagues at Loughborough University, as part of the CENTA Doctoral Training Programme.
Applications for 2018 entry are now live. Further details on how to apply can be found here. Please see the links above for further details. The application deadline is 22 January 2018.
Looking forward to presenting my research at the Oxford Water Network seminar series! More details here.
On October 12th, I will be giving a talk at Maynooth university on ‘Disentangling streamflow drivers and forecasting water hazards using Earth Observation’ (details here).
Blöschl et al.’s published a paper on Changing climate shifts timing of European floods in Science this week (11 August 2017 issue).
Our Perspective on this paper can be downloaded here. It will be open-access the first two weeks, and then accessible via the links on this page.
Our paper has just been accepted in Journal of Climate (American Meteorological Society)!
Zhang, W., Villarini, G., Slater, L., Vecchi, G.A., Bradley, A.A. (2017), Improved ENSO Forecasting using Bayesian Updating and the North American Multi Model Ensemble (NMME), Journal of Climate
Our paper titled ‘Weighting of NMME temperature and precipitation forecasts across Europe‘ has just been accepted in Journal of Hydrology
It is open-access here until Sept 12th!
Slater, L.J., Villarini, G., Bradley, A.A. (2017) Weighting of NMME temperature and precipitation forecasts across Europe, Journal of Hydrology,
Our paper on dynamical statistical forecasting of seasonal streamflow has just been published in Climate Dynamics!
See the paper here and the associated EGU poster here.
Slater, L.J., Villarini, G., Bradley, A., Vecchi G. (in press) A dynamical statistical framework for seasonal streamflow forecasting in an agricultural watershed, Climate Dynamics. doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3794-7
See here for an updated list of seminars (Hull, Maynooth, New Orleans, Durham..)
- On Monday 22nd May we are hosting a Water Research Day at Loughborough University, as part of the Water@Lboro initiative.
- On Wednesday 21st June I will be visiting the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) to talk about global statistical forecasting
- On Thursday 16th November I will be visiting Oxford to give a talk on Fluvial geomorphology and flood risk management for Oxford Water Network‘s Michaelmas term seminar series
Our Geophysical Research Letters paper on Recent trends in US flood risk has been featured as a Research Spotlight on Eos
The University of Iowa’s Press Release has been picked up by multiple press outlets (incl. NSF’s Science360, Daily Mail, National Geographic, Earth, UPI, BeforeItsNews, PhysOrg, Newswise & others)
On Thurs. 11 February 2016, I’ll present “Climatic, hydrologic and geomorphic drivers of trends in flood hazards (UK/USA)” for the University of Minnesota Department of Earth Sciences 2015-2016 Seminar Series.
On Wed. 23 March 2016, I will present our new model for “Seasonal discharge forecasting in an agricultural watershed” at the Iowa Flood Center.