Hello and welcome!

I am a Lecturer at Loughborough University and my research focuses on understanding and predicting changes in floods and fluvial systems in the context of contemporary shifts in climate and land cover. My approach is statistical and computational; I use a multitude of ‘Big data’ sources to disentangle the different drivers of flooding and fluvial change across a variety of climates and land use types. Using Earth Observation and ensemble Climate Model outputs I also develop probabilistic forecasts to assess how floods and fluvial systems may change over a range of timescales. I have a keen interest in data science and in developing new, interdisciplinary methods for understanding and projecting fluvial and hydro-climatic change.

On this website you will find a series of pages with News on my current research (below), Publications, Outreach and Media activities, Conference talks, and a short CV.

Seasonal Forecasting Workshop (Jan 2018)

Our two-day workshop in Loughborough on Seasonal Forecasting of Water Resources – Meeting User Needs (24-25 January) was attended by 43 participants from a diverse range of organisations (CEH, ECMWF, EA, SEPA, NRW, NCAS, National Farmers’ Union, Canal & River Trust, SMHI, Civil Protection Agency), water agencies/ consultancies (Anglian Water Services, Scottish Water, CH2M, South West Water Ltd), and universities (Maynooth, Reading, Coventry, Loughborough, Colima, Newcastle, West of England, WSL), with delegates from six countries (UK, Ireland, Mexico, Italy, Switzerland, Sweden). The event was co-sponsored by the RCUK Drought Programme, Water@Loughborough, Water@Reading, and the British Hydrological Society.

We are planning to write a summary of the meeting for the British Hydrological Society’s newsletter Circulation, a Letter to NERC, and an opinion paper.

For more pictures of the event, please see the #SeasonalForecasting hashtag on Twitter!



First NERC grant (Dec 2017)

We have just heard that our NERC/ESRC/DFID proposal on ‘Financial planning for natural disasters: the case of flood risk in Central Java’ was successful.

We will soon be advertising a two-year senior Research Associate (Postdoctoral) position to work on Flood risk and Financial planning (with me), starting early in 2018. Please do get in touch if you are interested. Advanced programming (R or Python) and GIS skills strongly desirable!

Seasonal Forecasting Workshop (January 2018)

A workshop on ‘Seasonal forecasting: Meeting User Needs’ is being held on 24th-25th January 2018 at Loughborough University (UK), co-sponsored by the British Hydrological Society, the RCUK Drought and Water Scarcity Programme, Water @ Loughborough, and Water @ Reading.

The aim of this workshop is to focus on the seasonal forecast needs of users and practitioners, and to identify ways of improving the dissemination, uptake and operationalisation of seasonal forecasts by the water and agricultural sectors.


Confirmed speakers include:

  • The EFAS seasonal forecasting system (Louise Arnal, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts)
  • Advancing the science behind operational seasonal forecasting: the Hydrological Outlook UK (Jamie Hannaford, Centre for Ecology and Hydrology)
  • Seasonal forecasting for effective water management on the canal network (David Mould, Canal & River Trust)
  • Seasonal weather forecasts and British farming (Ceris Jones, National Farmers’ Union)
  • The Global Flood Awareness System (Rebecca Emerton, Water @ Reading University)
  • Ensemble projections, scenarios and forecasts: operational assessment of water resources prospects (Richard Davis and Karen James, Environment Agency)
  • Improving seasonal drought forecasting for user-decision making: The IMPETUS, EdGE and ENDOWS projects (Shaun Harrigan, Simon Parry, Centre for Ecology and Hydrology)

Abstract submission: Abstracts for oral and poster presentations are welcomed. Please send your abstract (up to 300 words) including title, authors and affiliations to SeasonalForecasting@lboro.ac.uk by Friday 15th December 2017.

For more information, please email: SeasonalForecasting@lboro.ac.uk

Further details/registration: https://www.ice.org.uk/events/seasonal-forecasting-meeting-user-needs

‘Using R in Hydrology’ workshop, EGU (April 2018)

We’re delighted to announce that the ‘Using R in Hydrology’ workshop will be running again (for a second year) at EGU 2018!

Session SC1.19/HS12.4 – Using R in Hydrology (co-organized)


Convener: Louise Slater
Co-Conveners: Shaun Harrigan, Tobias Gauster, Alexander Hurley, Guillaume Thirel.

Wondering why or how to use R in hydrology? You’re in the right place! In this short course, you will learn how R is applied in a range of hydrological research settings from a number of guest lecturers.

Topics for 2018 include:
– Recent R updates and packages
– Statistical analysis of hydroclimatic time-series
– Data visualisation
– An introduction to the ‘lfstat’ (low flow statistics) package
– Hydrological modelling (airGR) and teaching modelling (airGRteaching)

This session is aimed at researchers who are interested in hearing more about R as well as those who are advanced R programmers wanting to discuss recent developments in an open environment.

This session is organised in cooperation with the Young Hydrologic Society (YHS; https://younghs.com/)


Two NERC-funded PhD positions

Two new NERC-funded PhD positions starting in 2018 are available with me and colleagues at Loughborough University, as part of the CENTA Doctoral Training Programme.

Applications for 2018 entry are now live. Further details on how to apply can be found here. Please see the links above for further details. The application deadline is 22 January 2018.