Publications

Published (group members and visiting group researchers are indicated in bold font; see below for papers under review):

  1. Chai, Y., Yue, Y., Slater, L.J., Yin, J., Borthwick, A., Chen, T., Wang, G. (2022, in press), Constrained CMIP6 projections indicate less warming and a slower increase in water availability across Asia, Nature Communications. 
  2. Liu, J., Feng, X., Gu, X., Zhang, J., Slater, L.J., Kong, D. (2022, in press), Detection and attribution of human influence on the global diurnal temperature range decline, Geophysical Research Letters. doi:10.1029/2021GL097155
  3. Feng, S., Gu, X., Luo, S., Liu, R., Gulakhmadov, A., Slater, L.J., Li, J., Zhang, X., Kong, D. (2022, in press). Greenhouse gas emissions drive global dryland expansion but not spatial patterns of change in aridification. Journal of Climate
  4. Li, C., Min, R., Gu, X., Gulakhmadov, A., Luo, S., Liu, R., Slater, L.J., Xie, F., Kong, D., Liu, J., Li, Y. (2022, in press), Substantial increase in heavy precipitation events preceded by moist heatwaves over China during 1961–2019. Frontiers in Environmental Science.
  5. Anderson, B., Slater, L., Dadson, S., Blum, A., Prosdocimi, I. (2022) Statistical attribution of the influence of urban and tree cover change on streamflow: a comparison of large sample statistical approaches. Water Resources Research. doi:10.1029/2021WR030742
  6. Phillips, C. B., Masteller, C., Slater, L., Dunne, K., Francalanci, S., Lanzoni, S., Merritts, D., Lajeunesse, E., Jerolmack., D. J. (2022) Threshold constraints on the size, shape and stability of alluvial rivers. Nature Reviews Earth and Environment. doi:10.1038/s43017-022-00282-z
  7. Tosunoglu, F., Slater, L.J. (2022) Decreasing flood hazard evaluated in Turkey using non-stationary models. River Research and Applications. doi:10.1002/rra.3998
  8. Khouakhi, A., Driouech, F., Slater, L., Waine, T., Chafki, O., Chehbouni, A., Raji, O. (2022) Atmospheric rivers and associated extreme rainfall over Morocco. International Journal of Climatology. doi:10.1002/joc.7676
  9. Kelder, T., Marjoribanks, T., Slater, L., Prudhomme, C., Wilby, R., Wagemann, J., Dunstone, N. (2022) An open workflow to gain insights about low-likelihood high impact weather events from initialised predictions. For full details on the workflow, see https://unseen-open.readthedocs.io/en/latest/Whats-unseen.html. doi:10.1002/met.2065 Meteorological Applications
  10. Gu, L., Chen, J., Yin, J., Slater, L., Wang, H-M., Guo, Q., Feng, M., Qin, H., Zhao, T. (2022) Global Increases in Compound Flood-Hot Extreme Hazards Under Climate Warming. Geophysical Research Letters. doi:10.1029/2022GL097726.
  11. Lees, T., Reece, S., Kratzert, F., Gauch, M., Klotz, D., De Bruijn, J., Kumar Sahu, R., Greve, P., Slater, L.J., Dadson, S. (2022) Hydrological Concept Formation inside Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
  12. Guan, Y., Gu, X., Slater, L.J., Li, L., Kong, D., Liu, J., Zhang, X., Yan, X. (2022) Tracing anomalies in moisture recycling and transport to two record-breaking droughts over the Mid-to-Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River. Journal of Hydrology [free access here until 28 May]
  13. Kelder, T., Wanders, N., van der Wiel, K., Marjoribanks, T., Slater, L., Wilby, R.L., Prudhomme, C. (2022) Interpreting extreme climate impacts from large ensemble simulations – are they unseen or unrealistic? Environmental Research Letters.
  14. Yu, X., Gu, X., Kong, D., Zhang, Q., Cao, Q., Slater, L., Ren, G., Luo, M., Li, J., Liu, J., Cheng, J., Li, Y. (2022) Asymmetrical shift toward less light and more heavy precipitation in an urban agglomeration of East China: Intensification by urbanization. Geophysical Research Letters.
  15. Buechel, M., Slater, L.J., Dadson, S. (2022) Hydrological impact of widespread afforestation in Great Britain using a large ensemble of modelled scenarios. Communications Earth & Environment. doi:10.1038/s43247-021-00334-0
  16. Brunner, M.I. and Slater, L.J. (2022) Extreme floods in Europe: going beyond observations using reforecast ensemble pooling. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. doi:10.5194/hess-2021-345. 
  17. Kowal, K., Slater, L.J., Van Loon, A.F., Birkel, C. (2022) SEAS5 Skilfully Predicts Late Wet-Season Precipitation in Central American Dry Corridor Excelling in Costa Rica and Nicaragua. International Journal of Climatology. doi:10.1002/joc.7514
  18. Li, C., Gu, X., Bai, W., Slater, L.J., Li, J., Kong, D., Liu, J., Li, Y. (2021) Asymmetric response of short- and long-duration dry spells to warming during the warm-rain season over Eastern Monsoon China. Journal of Hydrology. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.127114
  19. Lees, T., Buechel, M., Anderson, B., Slater, L., Reece, S., Coxon, G., and Dadson, S. (2021) Benchmarking Data-Driven Rainfall-Runoff Models in Great Britain: A comparison of LSTM-based models with four lumped conceptual models. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, doi:10.5194/hess-25-5517-2021
  20. Green, D., O’Donnell, E., Johnson, M., Slater, L.J., Thorne, C., Zheng, S., Ka Shun Chan, F. (2021) Green infrastructure: the future of urban flood risk management? WIREs Water. doi:10.1002/wat2.1560
  21. Dwyer, G.K., Cummings, C.R., Rice, S. P., Lancaster, J., Downes, B., Slater, L., Lester, R.E. (2021) Using fractals to describe ecologically relevant patterns in distributions of large rocks in streams. Water Resources Research, 57(7), e2021WR029796. doi:10.1029/2021WR029796
  22. Slater L.J., Anderson A., Buechel M., Dadson S., Han S., Harrigan S., Kelder T., Kowal K., Lees T., Matthews T., Murphy C., Wilby R.L. (2021) Nonstationary weather and water extremes: a review of methods for their detection, attribution, and management. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, doi:10.5194/hess-25-3897-2021
  23. Xiong, J., Yin, J., Guo, S., Slater, L. (2021) Continuity of terrestrial water storage variability and trends across mainland China monitored by the GRACE and GRACE-Follow on satellites. Journal of Hydrology. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126308
  24. Slater, L.J., Villarini, G., Archfield, S., Faulkner, D., Lamb, R., Khouakhi A., Yin, J. (2021) Global changes in 20-year, 50-year and 100-year river floods. Geophysical Research Letters. doi: 10.1029/2020GL091824 
  25. Lancaster, J., Rice, S., Slater, L.J., Lester, R.E., Downes, B.J. (2021) Hydrological controls on oviposition habitat are associated with egg-laying phenology of some caddisflies. Freshwater Biology. doi: 10.1111/fwb.13718
  26. Brunner, M., Slater, L.J., Tallaksen, L., Clark, M. (2021) Challenges in modeling and predicting floods and droughts: A review. WIREs Water. doi:10.1002/wat2.1520 
  27. Kelder, T., Müller, M., Slater, L.J., Marjoribanks, T, Wilby, R., Prudhomme, C., Bohlinger, P., Ferranti, L., Nipen, T. (2020) Using UNSEEN trends to detect decadal changes in 100-year precipitation extremes. Climate and Atmospheric Science
  28. Piégay, H., Arnaud, F., Belletti, B., Bertrand, M., Bizzi, S., Carbonneau, P., Dufour, S., Liebault, F., Ruiz-Villanueva, V., Slater, L.J. (2020), Remotely Sensed Rivers in the Anthropocene: State of the Art and Prospects. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms
  29. Slater, L.J., Thirel, G., Harrigan, S., Delaigue, O., Hurley, A., Khouakhi, A., Prodoscimi, I., Vitolo, C., and Smith, K. (2019) Using R in hydrology: a review of recent developments and future directions. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 23, 2939-2963, doi: 10.5194/hess-23-2939-2019
  30. Slater, L.J., Khouakhi, A., Wilby, R. (2019) River channel conveyance capacity adjusts to modes of climate variability  Scientific Reports, 9:12619, doi:10.1038/s41598-019-48782-1
  31. Courty, L., Wilby, R., Hillier, J., Slater, L.J. (2019) Intensity-Duration-Frequency curves at the global scale. Environmental Research Letters, 14(8), doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab370a
  32. Slater, L.J., Villarini, G., Bradley, A., Vecchi G. (2019) A dynamical statistical framework for seasonal streamflow forecasting in an agricultural watershed.  Climate Dynamics, 53(12), 7429-7445, doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3794-7
  33. Khouakhi, A., Villarini, G., Zhang, W., Slater, L. (2019) Seasonal predictability of high sea level frequency from Nino3.4 along the U.S. West coast. Advances in Water Resources. doi: 10.1016/j.advwatres.2019.07.007
  34. Berghuijs, W., Harrigan, s., Molnar, P., Slater, L. , Kirchner, J., (2019)  The relative importance of different flood-generating mechanisms across Europe. Water Resources Research, doi:10.1029/2019WR024841
  35. Neri, A., Villarini, G., Slater, L.J., Napolitano, F. (2019) On the statistical attribution of the frequency of flood events across the U.S. Midwest. Advances in Water Resources, 127(5), 225-236, doi:10.1016/j.advwatres.2019.03.019
  36. Slater, L.J., Villarini, G., Bradley, A. (2019) Evaluation of the skill of North-American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) Global Climate Models in predicting average and extreme precipitation and temperature over the continental USA. Climate Dynamics. 53(12), pp. 7381–7396. doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3286-1
  37. Neri, A., Villarini, G., Salvi, K.A., Slater, L.J. and Napolitano, F. (2019) On the decadal predictability of the frequency of flood events across the U.S. Midwest.  International Journal of Climatology. doi:10.1002/joc.5915
  38. Hillier, J. et al. (2019) Demystifying academics to enhance university–business collaborations in environmental science. Geoscience Communication, 2, 1-23; doi:10.5194/gc-2-1-2019
  39. Slater, L.J., Villarini, G. (2018) Enhancing the predictability of seasonal streamflow with a statistical dynamical approach. Geophysical Research Letters. doi:10.1029/2018GL077945
  40. Lutz, S., Popp, A., van Emmerik, T., Gleeson, T., Kalaugher, L., Möbius, K., Mudde, T., Walton, B., Hut, R., Savenije, H., Slater, L.J., Solcerova, A., Stoof, C. and Zink, M. (2018) HESS Opinions: Science in today’s media landscape – challenges and lessons from hydrologists and journalists. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22(7).
  41. Villarini, G., Slater, L.J. (2018) Examination of Changes in Annual Maximum Gage Height in the Continental United States Using Quantile Regression. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering (ASCE), doi:10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0001620
  42. Slater, L.J., Villarini, G. (2017) Evaluating the drivers of seasonal streamflow rates in the U.S. Midwest, Water (MDPI). 9, 695; doi:10.3390/w9090695. 
  43. Slater, L.J., Wilby, R.L. (2017) Measuring the changing pulse of rivers (Perspective article), Science, 357(6351), pp. 552, doi:10.1126/science.aao2441. Reprint.
  44. Zhang, W., Villarini, G., Slater, L.J., Vecchi, G., Bradley, A.A. (2017) Improved ENSO Forecasting using Bayesian Updating and the North American Multi Model Ensemble (NMME), Journal of Climate, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0073.1.
  45. Slater, L.J., Villarini, G., Bradley, A.A. (2017) Weighting of NMME temperature and precipitation forecasts across Europe, Journal of Hydrology, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.07.029
  46. Clubb, F.J., Mudd, S.M., Milodowski, D.T, Valters, D.A, Slater, L.J., Hurst, M.D., and Limaye, A.B.S. (2017) Geomorphometric delineation of floodplains and terraces from slope and channel relief thresholds, Earth Surface Dynamics, 5(3), pp.369-385. doi:10.5194/esurf-2017-21.
  47. Villarini, G., Slater, L.J. (2017) Climatology of flooding in the United States, Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Natural Hazard Science. doi:10.1093/acrefore/9780199389407.013.123 
  48. Wilby, R.L., Clifford, N.J., De Luca, P., Harrigan, S., Hillier, J.K., Hodgkins, R., Johnson, M.F., Matthews, T.K.R., Murphy, C., Noone, S.J., Parry, S., Prudhomme, C., Rice, S.P., Slater, L.J., Smith, K.A., Wood, P.J. (2017) The “dirty dozen” of freshwater science: Detecting then reconciling hydrological data biases and errors, Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews (WIREs) Water, 4:e1209. doi: 10.1002/wat2.1209
  49. Slater, L.J., Villarini, G. (2016) On the impact of gaps on trend detection in extreme streamflow time series, International Journal of Climatology. ISSN: 1097-0088. doi: 10.1002/joc.4954.
  50. Slater, L.J., Villarini, G. (2016) Recent trends in U.S. flood risk, Geophysical Research Letters, 2016. 43(24), pp.12, 428-12,436, doi: 10.1002/2016GL071199. Featured Research Spotlight in Eos.
  51. Slater L.J. (2016) To what extent have changes in channel capacity contributed to flood hazard trends in England and Wales? Earth Surface Processes and Landforms, 41(8), pp.1115-1128, ISSN: 0197-9337. Special Issue Stormy Geomorphology, doi: 10.1002/esp.3927
  52. Slater, L.J. (2015) Changing Channels (Outreach article), Planet Earth. Html version. pp.22-23, ISSN: 1479-2605.
  53. Slater, L.J., Singer, M.B., Kirchner J.W. (2015) Hydrologic versus geomorphic drivers of trends in flood hazard, Geophysical Research Letters, 42(2), pp.370-376, ISSN: 0094-8276. doi: 10.1002/2014GL062482. PDF. html. Supplementary material. Media attention: AGUniverse Publication Highlight.
  54. Clubb, F.J., Mudd S.M., Milodowski D.T., Hurst M.D., Slater L.J. (2014) Objective extraction of channel heads from high resolution topographic data, Water Resources Research. 50(5), pp.4283-4304.  doi: 10.1002/2013WR015167.
  55. Slater, L. J. and Singer, M.B. (2013) Imprint of climate and climate change in alluvial riverbeds: Continental United States, 1950-2011, Geology, 41(5), pp.595-598, ISSN: 0091-7613. doi:10.1130/G34070.1 Prize for the best student-led peer-reviewed journal article for 2013.  University of St Andrews Press Release
  56. Piégay, H., Alber, A., Slater, L.J., and Bourdin, L. (2009) Census and typology of braided rivers in the French Alps, Aquatic Sciences, 71(3), 371–388, doi:10.1007/s00027-009-9220-4 (French MSc thesis, Slater, L.J. (2007) Caractérisation des rivières en tresses françaises, ENS-Lyon)

Manuscripts under review or in revision:

  1. Chai, Y., Yue, Y., Slater, L., Miao, C. Constrained CMIP6 projections reveal an acceleration of the global water cycle. [under review]
  2. Gu, L., Yin, J., Gentine, P., Guo, S., Wang, H-M., Slater, L.J., Sullivan, S., Zscheischler, J., Zhou, J., Chen, J., Large anomalies in future extreme precipitation sensitivity driven by atmospheric dynamics [under review]
  3. Wang, L., Gu, X., Li, J., Slater, L.J., Zhang, Q., Luo, M., Ren, G., Kong, D. , Lai, Y., Liu, J. Declining translation distance of tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific [in revision].
  4. Chai, Y., Berghuijs, W.R., Yue, Y., Slater, L., Dolman, H. Faster future global snow losses revealed by constrained CMIP6 projections.
  5. Slater, L.J., Huntingford, C., Pywell, R.F., Redhead, J.W., Kendon, E.J., Resilience of UK crop yields to changing climate extremes, esd-2021-92, https://esd.copernicus.org/preprints/esd-2021-92/ [in revision]
  6. Chai, Y., Wang, G., Berghuijs, W.R., Li, Y., Yang, Y., Zhu, B., Yu, L., Slater, L.J., Global decline of CO2-driven gains in vegetation water use efficiency [under review]
  7. Han, S., Slater, L.J., Wilby, R.L., Faulkner, D. Contribution of Urbanisation to Non-stationary River Flow in the UK [under review]
  8. Li, C., Gu, X., Slater, L.J., Liu, J., Kong, D. Moist heatwaves magnify urban increases in heavy precipitation in an urban agglomeration of East China [in revision]
  9. Fan, K., Slater, L.J., Zhang, Q., Sheffield, J., Gentine, P., Sun, S., Wu, W. Climate warming accelerates surface soil moisture drying in the Yellow River Basin [under review]
  10. Zhang, B., Wang, S., Moradkhani, H., Slater, L. and Liu, J. A vine copula-based ensemble projection of precipitation intensity-duration-frequency curves at sub-daily to multi-day time scales [under review]
  11. Gu, L., Yin, J., Slater, L., Chen, J., Do, H., Wang, H-M., Chen, L., Jiang, Z., Zhao, T. Intensification of global hydrological droughts under anthropogenic climate warming [submitted]