Published (group members and visiting group researchers are indicated in bold font; see below for papers under review):
- Gu, L., Yin, J., Gentine, P., Wang, H-M., Slater, L.J., Sullivan, S., Chen, J., Zscheischler, J., Guo, S. (accepted, in press). Large anomalies in future extreme precipitation sensitivity driven by atmospheric dynamics. Nature Communications
- Slater, L., Arnal, L., Boucher, M.-A., Chang, A. Y.-Y., Moulds, S., Murphy, C., Nearing, G., Shalev, G., Shen, C., Speight, L., Villarini, G., Wilby, R. L., Wood, A., and Zappa, M. (2023) Hybrid forecasting: blending climate predictions with AI models, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. doi:10.5194/hess-27-1865-2023
- Han, P., Long, D., Zhao, F., Slater, L. (2023) Response of two glaciers in different climate settings of the Tibetan Plateau to climate change through year 2100 using a hybrid modelling approach. Water Resources Research. doi: 10.1029/2022WR033618
- Berghuijs, W. and Slater, L. (2023) Groundwater shapes North American river floods, Environmental Research Letters. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/acbecc
- Li, X., Long, D., Slater, L., Moulds, S., Shahid, M., Han, P., Zhao, F. (2023) Soil Moisture to Runoff (SM2R): A data-driven model for runoff estimation across poorly gauged Asian water towers based on soil moisture dynamics, Water Resources Research. doi: 10.1029/2022WR033597
- Wang, L., Gu, X., Slater, L., Li, J., Kong, D., Zhang, X., Liu, J. (2023) Phase shifts of the PDO and AMO alter the translation distance of global tropical cyclones. Earth’s Future. doi:10.1029/2022EF003079
- Yin, J., Gentine, P., Slater, L., Gu, L., Pokhrel, Y., Hanasaki, N., Guo, S., Xiong, L., Schlenker, W. (2023) Future socio-ecosystem productivity threatened by compound drought-heatwave events, Nature Sustainability. doi:10.1038/s41893-022-01024-1. Press release on Oxford University’s website.
- Yin, J. and Slater, L. (2023), Increase in drought–heatwave events worsens socioeconomic productivity and carbon uptake, Nature Sustainability Research Briefing. doi:10.1038/s41893-022-01026-z
- Kowal, K., Slater, L., López, A.G., Van Loon, A.F. (2023) A comparison of seasonal rainfall forecasts over Central America using dynamic and hybrid approaches from C3S and NMME. International Journal of Climatology. doi:10.1002/joc.7969
- Moulds, S., Slater, L., Dunstone, N., Smith, D. (2023) Skillful decadal flood prediction, Geophysical Research Letters. doi:10.1029/2022GL100650
- Gu, L., Yin, J., Slater, L., Chen, J., Do, H., Wang, H-M., Chen, L., Jiang, Z., Zhao, T. (2022) Intensification of global hydrological droughts under anthropogenic climate warming. Water Resources Research. doi:10.1029/2022WR032997
- Zhang, B., Wang, S., Moradkhani, H., Slater, L. and Liu, J. (2022) A vine copula-based ensemble projection of precipitation intensity-duration-frequency curves at sub-daily to multi-day time scales, Water Resources Research. doi:10.1029/2022WR032658
- Fan, K., Slater, L.J., Zhang, Q., Sheffield, J., Gentine, P., Sun, S., Wu, W. (2022) Climate warming accelerates surface soil moisture drying in the Yellow River Basin, Journal of Hydrology
- Li, C., Gu, X., Slater, L.J., Liu, J., Li, J., Zhang, X., Kong, D. (2022) Urbanization-induced increases in heavy precipitation are magnified by moist heatwaves in an urban agglomeration of East China, Journal of Climate
- Wang, L., Nie, R., Slater, L.J., Xu, Z., Guan, D., Yang, Y., Education can improve response to flash floods (2022 – letter), Science
- Yin, J., Slater, L., Gu, L., Liao, Z., Guo, S., Gentine, P. (2022), Global Increases in Lethal Compound Heat Stress- Hydrological Drought Hazards under Climate Change, Geophysical Research Letters
- Slater, L.J., Huntingford, C., Pywell, R.F., Redhead, J.W., Kendon, E.J., (2022), Resilience of UK crop yields to compound climate change, Earth System Dynamics
- Han, S., Slater, L.J., Wilby, R.L., Faulkner, D. (2022), Contribution of Urbanisation to Non-stationary River Flow in the UK. Journal of Hydrology. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128417
- Wang, L., Gu, X., Gulakhmadov, A., Li, J., Slater, L., Zhang, Q., Luo, M., Ren, G., Kong, D. , Lai, Y., Liu, J. (2022), An analysis of translation distance of tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific. Journal of Climate. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0030.1
- Chai, Y., Yue, Y., Slater, L.J., Yin, J., Borthwick, A., Chen, T., Wang, G. (2022), Constrained CMIP6 projections indicate less warming and a slower increase in water availability across Asia, Nature Communications. doi:10.1038/s41467-022-31782-7
- Liu, J., Feng, X., Gu, X., Zhang, J., Slater, L.J., Kong, D. (2022), Detection and attribution of human influence on the global diurnal temperature range decline, Geophysical Research Letters. doi:10.1029/2021GL097155
- Feng, S., Gu, X., Luo, S., Liu, R., Gulakhmadov, A., Slater, L.J., Li, J., Zhang, X., Kong, D. (2022). Greenhouse gas emissions drive global dryland expansion but not spatial patterns of change in aridification. Journal of Climate. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0103.1
- Li, C., Min, R., Gu, X., Gulakhmadov, A., Luo, S., Liu, R., Slater, L.J., Xie, F., Kong, D., Liu, J., Li, Y. (2022), Substantial increase in heavy precipitation events preceded by moist heatwaves over China during 1961–2019. Frontiers in Environmental Science. doi:10.3389/fenvs.2022.951392
- Anderson, B., Slater, L., Dadson, S., Blum, A., Prosdocimi, I. (2022) Statistical attribution of the influence of urban and tree cover change on streamflow: a comparison of large sample statistical approaches. Water Resources Research. doi:10.1029/2021WR030742
- Phillips, C. B., Masteller, C., Slater, L., Dunne, K., Francalanci, S., Lanzoni, S., Merritts, D., Lajeunesse, E., Jerolmack., D. J. (2022) Threshold constraints on the size, shape and stability of alluvial rivers. Nature Reviews Earth and Environment. doi:10.1038/s43017-022-00282-z
- Tosunoglu, F., Slater, L.J. (2022) Decreasing flood hazard evaluated in Turkey using non-stationary models. River Research and Applications. doi:10.1002/rra.3998
- Khouakhi, A., Driouech, F., Slater, L., Waine, T., Chafki, O., Chehbouni, A., Raji, O. (2022) Atmospheric rivers and associated extreme rainfall over Morocco. International Journal of Climatology. doi:10.1002/joc.7676
- Kelder, T., Marjoribanks, T., Slater, L., Prudhomme, C., Wilby, R., Wagemann, J., Dunstone, N. (2022) An open workflow to gain insights about low-likelihood high impact weather events from initialised predictions. For full details on the workflow, see https://unseen-open.readthedocs.io/en/latest/Whats-unseen.html. doi:10.1002/met.2065 Meteorological Applications
- Gu, L., Chen, J., Yin, J., Slater, L., Wang, H-M., Guo, Q., Feng, M., Qin, H., Zhao, T. (2022) Global Increases in Compound Flood-Hot Extreme Hazards Under Climate Warming. Geophysical Research Letters. doi:10.1029/2022GL097726.
- Lees, T., Reece, S., Kratzert, F., Gauch, M., Klotz, D., De Bruijn, J., Kumar Sahu, R., Greve, P., Slater, L.J., Dadson, S. (2022) Hydrological Concept Formation inside Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
- Guan, Y., Gu, X., Slater, L.J., Li, L., Kong, D., Liu, J., Zhang, X., Yan, X. (2022) Tracing anomalies in moisture recycling and transport to two record-breaking droughts over the Mid-to-Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River. Journal of Hydrology
- Kelder, T., Wanders, N., van der Wiel, K., Marjoribanks, T., Slater, L., Wilby, R.L., Prudhomme, C. (2022) Interpreting extreme climate impacts from large ensemble simulations – are they unseen or unrealistic? Environmental Research Letters.
- Yu, X., Gu, X., Kong, D., Zhang, Q., Cao, Q., Slater, L., Ren, G., Luo, M., Li, J., Liu, J., Cheng, J., Li, Y. (2022) Asymmetrical shift toward less light and more heavy precipitation in an urban agglomeration of East China: Intensification by urbanization. Geophysical Research Letters.
- Buechel, M., Slater, L.J., Dadson, S. (2022) Hydrological impact of widespread afforestation in Great Britain using a large ensemble of modelled scenarios. Communications Earth & Environment. doi:10.1038/s43247-021-00334-0
- Brunner, M.I. and Slater, L.J. (2022) Extreme floods in Europe: going beyond observations using reforecast ensemble pooling. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. doi:10.5194/hess-2021-345.
- Kowal, K., Slater, L.J., Van Loon, A.F., Birkel, C. (2022) SEAS5 Skilfully Predicts Late Wet-Season Precipitation in Central American Dry Corridor Excelling in Costa Rica and Nicaragua. International Journal of Climatology. doi:10.1002/joc.7514
- Li, C., Gu, X., Bai, W., Slater, L.J., Li, J., Kong, D., Liu, J., Li, Y. (2021) Asymmetric response of short- and long-duration dry spells to warming during the warm-rain season over Eastern Monsoon China. Journal of Hydrology. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.127114
- Lees, T., Buechel, M., Anderson, B., Slater, L., Reece, S., Coxon, G., and Dadson, S. (2021) Benchmarking Data-Driven Rainfall-Runoff Models in Great Britain: A comparison of LSTM-based models with four lumped conceptual models. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, doi:10.5194/hess-25-5517-2021
- Green, D., O’Donnell, E., Johnson, M., Slater, L.J., Thorne, C., Zheng, S., Ka Shun Chan, F. (2021) Green infrastructure: the future of urban flood risk management? WIREs Water. doi:10.1002/wat2.1560
- Dwyer, G.K., Cummings, C.R., Rice, S. P., Lancaster, J., Downes, B., Slater, L., Lester, R.E. (2021) Using fractals to describe ecologically relevant patterns in distributions of large rocks in streams. Water Resources Research, 57(7), e2021WR029796. doi:10.1029/2021WR029796
- Slater L.J., Anderson A., Buechel M., Dadson S., Han S., Harrigan S., Kelder T., Kowal K., Lees T., Matthews T., Murphy C., Wilby R.L. (2021) Nonstationary weather and water extremes: a review of methods for their detection, attribution, and management. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, doi:10.5194/hess-25-3897-2021
- Xiong, J., Yin, J., Guo, S., Slater, L. (2021) Continuity of terrestrial water storage variability and trends across mainland China monitored by the GRACE and GRACE-Follow on satellites. Journal of Hydrology. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126308
- Slater, L.J., Villarini, G., Archfield, S., Faulkner, D., Lamb, R., Khouakhi A., Yin, J. (2021) Global changes in 20-year, 50-year and 100-year river floods. Geophysical Research Letters. doi: 10.1029/2020GL091824
- Lancaster, J., Rice, S., Slater, L.J., Lester, R.E., Downes, B.J. (2021) Hydrological controls on oviposition habitat are associated with egg-laying phenology of some caddisflies. Freshwater Biology. doi: 10.1111/fwb.13718
- Brunner, M., Slater, L.J., Tallaksen, L., Clark, M. (2021) Challenges in modeling and predicting floods and droughts: A review. WIREs Water. doi:10.1002/wat2.1520
- Kelder, T., Müller, M., Slater, L.J., Marjoribanks, T, Wilby, R., Prudhomme, C., Bohlinger, P., Ferranti, L., Nipen, T. (2020) Using UNSEEN trends to detect decadal changes in 100-year precipitation extremes. Climate and Atmospheric Science
- Piégay, H., Arnaud, F., Belletti, B., Bertrand, M., Bizzi, S., Carbonneau, P., Dufour, S., Liebault, F., Ruiz-Villanueva, V., Slater, L.J. (2020), Remotely Sensed Rivers in the Anthropocene: State of the Art and Prospects. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms
- Slater, L.J., Thirel, G., Harrigan, S., Delaigue, O., Hurley, A., Khouakhi, A., Prodoscimi, I., Vitolo, C., and Smith, K. (2019) Using R in hydrology: a review of recent developments and future directions. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 23, 2939-2963, doi: 10.5194/hess-23-2939-2019
- Slater, L.J., Khouakhi, A., Wilby, R. (2019) River channel conveyance capacity adjusts to modes of climate variability Scientific Reports, 9:12619, doi:10.1038/s41598-019-48782-1
- Courty, L., Wilby, R., Hillier, J., Slater, L.J. (2019) Intensity-Duration-Frequency curves at the global scale. Environmental Research Letters, 14(8), doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab370a
- Slater, L.J., Villarini, G., Bradley, A., Vecchi G. (2019) A dynamical statistical framework for seasonal streamflow forecasting in an agricultural watershed. Climate Dynamics, 53(12), 7429-7445, doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3794-7
- Khouakhi, A., Villarini, G., Zhang, W., Slater, L. (2019) Seasonal predictability of high sea level frequency from Nino3.4 along the U.S. West coast. Advances in Water Resources. doi: 10.1016/j.advwatres.2019.07.007
- Berghuijs, W., Harrigan, s., Molnar, P., Slater, L. , Kirchner, J., (2019) The relative importance of different flood-generating mechanisms across Europe. Water Resources Research, doi:10.1029/2019WR024841
- Neri, A., Villarini, G., Slater, L.J., Napolitano, F. (2019) On the statistical attribution of the frequency of flood events across the U.S. Midwest. Advances in Water Resources, 127(5), 225-236, doi:10.1016/j.advwatres.2019.03.019
- Slater, L.J., Villarini, G., Bradley, A. (2019) Evaluation of the skill of North-American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) Global Climate Models in predicting average and extreme precipitation and temperature over the continental USA. Climate Dynamics. 53(12), pp. 7381–7396. doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3286-1
- Neri, A., Villarini, G., Salvi, K.A., Slater, L.J. and Napolitano, F. (2019) On the decadal predictability of the frequency of flood events across the U.S. Midwest. International Journal of Climatology. doi:10.1002/joc.5915
- Hillier, J. et al. (2019) Demystifying academics to enhance university–business collaborations in environmental science. Geoscience Communication, 2, 1-23; doi:10.5194/gc-2-1-2019
- Slater, L.J., Villarini, G. (2018) Enhancing the predictability of seasonal streamflow with a statistical dynamical approach. Geophysical Research Letters. doi:10.1029/2018GL077945
- Lutz, S., Popp, A., van Emmerik, T., Gleeson, T., Kalaugher, L., Möbius, K., Mudde, T., Walton, B., Hut, R., Savenije, H., Slater, L.J., Solcerova, A., Stoof, C. and Zink, M. (2018) HESS Opinions: Science in today’s media landscape – challenges and lessons from hydrologists and journalists. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22(7).
- Villarini, G., Slater, L.J. (2018) Examination of Changes in Annual Maximum Gage Height in the Continental United States Using Quantile Regression. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering (ASCE), doi:10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0001620
- Slater, L.J., Villarini, G. (2017) Evaluating the drivers of seasonal streamflow rates in the U.S. Midwest, Water (MDPI). 9, 695; doi:10.3390/w9090695.
- Slater, L.J., Wilby, R.L. (2017) Measuring the changing pulse of rivers (Perspective article), Science, 357(6351), pp. 552, doi:10.1126/science.aao2441. Reprint.
- Zhang, W., Villarini, G., Slater, L.J., Vecchi, G., Bradley, A.A. (2017) Improved ENSO Forecasting using Bayesian Updating and the North American Multi Model Ensemble (NMME), Journal of Climate, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0073.1.
- Slater, L.J., Villarini, G., Bradley, A.A. (2017) Weighting of NMME temperature and precipitation forecasts across Europe, Journal of Hydrology, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.07.029
- Clubb, F.J., Mudd, S.M., Milodowski, D.T, Valters, D.A, Slater, L.J., Hurst, M.D., and Limaye, A.B.S. (2017) Geomorphometric delineation of floodplains and terraces from slope and channel relief thresholds, Earth Surface Dynamics, 5(3), pp.369-385. doi:10.5194/esurf-2017-21.
- Villarini, G., Slater, L.J. (2017) Climatology of flooding in the United States, Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Natural Hazard Science. doi:10.1093/acrefore/9780199389407.013.123
- Wilby, R.L., Clifford, N.J., De Luca, P., Harrigan, S., Hillier, J.K., Hodgkins, R., Johnson, M.F., Matthews, T.K.R., Murphy, C., Noone, S.J., Parry, S., Prudhomme, C., Rice, S.P., Slater, L.J., Smith, K.A., Wood, P.J. (2017) The “dirty dozen” of freshwater science: Detecting then reconciling hydrological data biases and errors, Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews (WIREs) Water, 4:e1209. doi: 10.1002/wat2.1209
- Slater, L.J., Villarini, G. (2016) On the impact of gaps on trend detection in extreme streamflow time series, International Journal of Climatology. ISSN: 1097-0088. doi: 10.1002/joc.4954.
- Slater, L.J., Villarini, G. (2016) Recent trends in U.S. flood risk, Geophysical Research Letters, 2016. 43(24), pp.12, 428-12,436, doi: 10.1002/2016GL071199. Featured Research Spotlight in Eos.
- Slater L.J. (2016) To what extent have changes in channel capacity contributed to flood hazard trends in England and Wales? Earth Surface Processes and Landforms, 41(8), pp.1115-1128, ISSN: 0197-9337. Special Issue Stormy Geomorphology, doi: 10.1002/esp.3927
- Slater, L.J., Singer, M.B., Kirchner J.W. (2015) Hydrologic versus geomorphic drivers of trends in flood hazard, Geophysical Research Letters, 42(2), pp.370-376, ISSN: 0094-8276. doi: 10.1002/2014GL062482. PDF. html. Supplementary material. Media attention: AGUniverse Publication Highlight.
- Clubb, F.J., Mudd S.M., Milodowski D.T., Hurst M.D., Slater L.J. (2014) Objective extraction of channel heads from high resolution topographic data, Water Resources Research. 50(5), pp.4283-4304. doi: 10.1002/2013WR015167.
- Slater, L. J. and Singer, M.B. (2013) Imprint of climate and climate change in alluvial riverbeds: Continental United States, 1950-2011, Geology, 41(5), pp.595-598, ISSN: 0091-7613. doi:10.1130/G34070.1 Prize for the best student-led peer-reviewed journal article for 2013. University of St Andrews Press Release
- Piégay, H., Alber, A., Slater, L.J., and Bourdin, L. (2009) Census and typology of braided rivers in the French Alps, Aquatic Sciences, 71(3), 371–388, doi:10.1007/s00027-009-9220-4 (French MSc thesis, Slater, L.J. (2007) Caractérisation des rivières en tresses françaises, ENS-Lyon)
Manuscripts submitted, under review, or in revision
- Chai, Y., Zhu, B., Cheng, Y., Hu, X., Berghuijs, W., Borthwick, A., Slater, L. Constrained tropical land sensitivity of temperature to precipitation reveals decreasing evapotranspiration and faster vegetation greening in CMIP6 projections (under revision)
- Chai, Y., Wang, G., Berghuijs, W.R., Li, Y., Yang, Y., Zhu, B., Yu, L., Slater, L.J., Global decline of CO2 fertilization effect on vegetation water use efficiency.
- Wei, L., Gu, X., Slater, L., Lai, Y., Kong, D., Liu, J., Li, J., Zhang, X. Heavier precipitation in response to longer-lasting tropical cyclones and rapid urbanization over the Yangtze River Delta of eastern China (in revision).
- Wang, L., Gu, X., Slater, L., Lai, Y., Zhang, X., Kong, D., Liu, J., Li, J. Indirect and direct impacts of Typhoon In-Fa (2021) on heavy precipitation in inland and coastal areas of China: Synoptic-scale environments and return period analysis (in revision).
- Kang, S., Yin, J., Gu, L., Yang, Y., Liu, D., Slater, L. Observation-constrained projection of bivariate flood characteristics and socioeconomic exposure in China (in revision).
- Luo, S., Gu, X., Guan, Y., Slater, L., Kong, D., Liu, J., Zhang, X. Hot weather amplifies the urban dry island effect, especially in wetter climates.
- Zhang, C., Long, D., Liu, T., Slater, L., Wang, G., Zuo, D., Duan, L., Cui, Y., Cui, Y. Grassland greening and water resource availability may coexist in a warming climate
- Anderson, B., Brunner, M., Slater, L., Dadson, S. Elasticity curves describe streamflow sensitivity to precipitation across the entire flow distribution. HESS Discussions (under public review)
- Yin, J., Guo, S., Slater, L. Concurrent heatwave-drought hazards increase concerns for socioeconomic inequality and carbon sequestration
- Gou, J., Miao, C. Ni, J., Sorooshian, S., Duan, Q., Yan, D., Slater, L., Xu, Z., Borthwick, A., Su, L. , Zhang, Q., Wada, Y., Warming climate and water withdrawals threaten river flow connectivity in China
- Gebrechorkos , S., Leyland, J., Slater, L., Wortmann, M., Ashworth, P., Bennett, G. , Boothroyd, R., Cloke, H., Delorme, P., Griffith, H., Hardy, R., Hawker, L., McLelland, S., Neal, J., Nicholas, A., Tatem, A., Vahid, E., Parsons, D., Darby, S. A high-resolution daily global dataset of statistically downscaled CMIP6 models for climate impact analyses
- Zhang, X., Gu, X., Slater, L., Dembélé, M., Tosunoglu, F., Liu, J., Zhang, X., Kong, D., Xie, F. Amplification of coupled hot-dry extremes over eastern monsoon China
- Yang, Y., Yin, J., Kang, S., Slater, L., Quantifying the drivers of terrestrial drought and water stress impacts on carbon uptake in China
- Leenman, A., Slater, L., Dadson, S., Wortmann, M., Boothroyd, R. Quantifying geomorphically effective floods using satellite observations of river mobility
- Wu, Y., Miao, C., Slater, L., Fan, X., Chai, Y., Sorooshian, S. Hydrological projections under CMIP5-6: Sources and magnitudes of uncertainty
- Fan, X., Miao, C., Zscheischler, J., Slater, L., Wu, Y., Chai, Y., AghaKouchak, A. Risk of compound fire weather under hot-dry conditions: historical changes, drivers, and future projections
- Guan, Y., Gu, X., Slater, L., Kong, D., Zhang, X., Li, J. Spatio-temporal variations in global surface soil moisture based on multiple datasets: Intercomparison and climate drivers
- Wu, X., Yue, Y., Borthwick, A., Slater, L., Syvitski, J., Bi, N., Yang, Z., Wang, H. Mega-reservoir regulation: contrasting lessons learnt from the Yangtze and Yellow rivers (submitted)