New paper: statistical dynamical forecasting of seasonal streamflow in an agricultural watershed

Our paper on dynamical statistical forecasting of seasonal streamflow has just been published in Climate Dynamics!

See the paper here and the associated EGU poster here.Raccoon

Slater, L.J., Villarini, G., Bradley, A., Vecchi G. (in press) A dynamical statistical framework for seasonal streamflow forecasting in an agricultural watershed,  Climate Dynamics. doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3794-7

Hello and welcome!

I am a Lecturer in Physical geography at Loughborough University and my research focuses on understanding and predicting changes in floods and fluvial systems in the context of contemporary shifts in climate, agricultural practices and urbanisation. My approach is statistical and computational; I use a combination of climatic and land cover information to disentangle the different drivers of flooding and fluvial change across a variety of climates and land use types. Using ensemble global climate model outputs I also develop probabilistic streamflow forecasts over a range of timescales to assess how floods and fluvial systems may change over time. I have a keen interest in data science and in developing new, interdisciplinary methods for understanding and projecting fluvial and hydro-climatic change.

On this website you will find a series of pages with News on my current research (below), Publications, Outreach and Media activities, Conference talks, and a short CV.

Seminars Feb-Mar 2016

On Thurs. 11 February 2016, I’ll present “Climatic, hydrologic and geomorphic drivers of trends in flood hazards (UK/USA)” for the University of Minnesota Department of Earth Sciences 2015-2016 Seminar Series.

On Wed. 23 March 2016, I will present our new model for “Seasonal discharge forecasting in an agricultural watershed” at the Iowa Flood Center.

AGU 2015

On Fri. 18 December 2015, 13:40 – 18:00, I will present a “Diagnosis of North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) skill for predicting floods and droughts over the continental USA” at the American Geophysical Union Fall meeting (session  H53A).


The poster can be downloaded from ResearchGate here