Our paper on dynamical statistical forecasting of seasonal streamflow has just been published in Climate Dynamics!
See the paper here and the associated EGU poster here.
Slater, L.J., Villarini, G., Bradley, A., Vecchi G. (in press) A dynamical statistical framework for seasonal streamflow forecasting in an agricultural watershed, Climate Dynamics. doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3794-7
I am a Lecturer in Physical geography at Loughborough University and my research focuses on understanding and predicting changes in floods and fluvial systems in the context of contemporary shifts in climate, agricultural practices and urbanisation. My approach is statistical and computational; I use a combination of climatic and land cover information to disentangle the different drivers of flooding and fluvial change across a variety of climates and land use types. Using ensemble global climate model outputs I also develop probabilistic streamflow forecasts over a range of timescales to assess how floods and fluvial systems may change over time. I have a keen interest in data science and in developing new, interdisciplinary methods for understanding and projecting fluvial and hydro-climatic change.
On this website you will find a series of pages with News on my current research (below), Publications, Outreach and Media activities, Conference talks, and a short CV.
Our Geophysical Research Letters paper on Recent trends in US flood risk has been featured as a Research Spotlight on Eos
The University of Iowa’s Press Release has been picked up by multiple press outlets (incl. NSF’s Science360, Daily Mail, National Geographic, Earth, UPI, BeforeItsNews, PhysOrg, Newswise & others)
New paper in Geophysical Research Letters on Recent trends in US flood risk
On Thurs. 11 February 2016, I’ll present “Climatic, hydrologic and geomorphic drivers of trends in flood hazards (UK/USA)” for the University of Minnesota Department of Earth Sciences 2015-2016 Seminar Series.
On Wed. 23 March 2016, I will present our new model for “Seasonal discharge forecasting in an agricultural watershed” at the Iowa Flood Center.
On Fri. 18 December 2015, 13:40 – 18:00, I will present a “Diagnosis of North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) skill for predicting floods and droughts over the continental USA” at the American Geophysical Union Fall meeting (session H53A).
The poster can be downloaded from ResearchGate here