Group Research Themes

We work broadly on the theme of flood nonstationarity, developing approaches to (1) understand how floods are changing, (2) quantify the different drivers of flood nonstationarity, and (3) predict future flooding and hydro-climatic extremes.

(1) Channel conveyance effects on flooding

We examine how channel conveyance affects flooding over management timescales. We quantify the drivers of changes in channel conveyance/morphology (e.g. climate variability) and forecast future changes in conveyance and their effects on the likelihood of flooding.

(2) Flood attribution: land cover and climate

We investigate why floods are changing. We evaluate influence of land cover change effects, such as urbanization and deforestation, on both the hydrology (from very low to very high flows) and channel morphology/conveyance capacity.

(3) Flood detection: changes in flood characteristics 

We explore how floods are changing by exploring changes in flood characteristics (magnitude, frequency, extent, duration) in the past and future.

(4) Ensemble-based statistical forecasting

We develop dynamical, statistical, probabilistic and ensemble-based approaches using climate forecasts to predict hydrological and geomorphic change (floods, streamflow, sea levels).

(6) Data science approaches to understand global extremes in hydro-climatology and geomorphology

Key themes: Flood nonstationarity, Flood drivers, Channel conveyance capacity, Land cover change, Statistical modelling, Flood forecasting, Ensemble approaches