New paper: UNSEEN trends

Timo Kelder’s new paper, which develops a new approach for detection of UNSEEN trends in environmental extremes, has just been accepted on 12 Oct. Details to follow soon…

Kelder, T., Müller, M., Slater, L., Marjoribanks, T, Wilby, R., Prudhomme, C., Bohlinger, P., Ferranti, L., Nipen, T.
UNSEEN trends: Detecting decadal changes in 100-year precipitation extremes. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science

New papers in ERL and AWR on extremes (precipitation and high sea level)

Two new papers in the last month:

Courty, L., Wilby, R., Hillier, J., Slater, L.J. (2019) Intensity-Duration-Frequency curves at the global scaleEnvironmental Research Letters, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab370a


Khouakhi, A., Villarini, G., Zhang, W., Slater, L.J. (2019) Seasonal predictability of high sea level frequency from Nino3.4 along the U.S. West coast, Advances in Water Resources. doi: 10.1016/j.advwatres.2019.07.007



New paper in HESS: Science in today’s media landscape

Pleased to report that our paper,

Lutz, S., Popp, A., van Emmerik, T., Gleeson, T., Kalaugher, L., Möbius, K., Mudde, T., Walton, B., Hut, R., Savenije, H., Slater, L.J.,  Solcerova, A., Stoof, C., and Zink, M., Science in today’s media landscape – challenges and lessons from hydrologists and journalists.

has just been accepted in Hydrology and Earth System Sciences and can be downloaded here: 

New paper in GRL: statistical-dynamical forecasting of seasonal streamflow

Pleased to say that our paper has just been accepted in Geophysical Research Letters.

Slater, L.J., Villarini, G. (2018Enhancing the predictability of seasonal streamflow with a statistical dynamical approach. doi:10.1029/2018GL077945

Key words: Seasonal forecasting, Streamflow, NMME, Precipitation, Temperature, Land cover.

New paper: Weighting of NMME temperature and precipitation forecasts across Europe

Our paper titled ‘Weighting of NMME temperature and precipitation forecasts across Europe‘ has just been accepted in Journal of Hydrology

It is open-access here until Sept 12th!JHydrol

Slater, L.J., Villarini, G., Bradley, A.A. (2017) Weighting of NMME temperature and precipitation forecasts across Europe, Journal of Hydrology,

New paper: statistical dynamical forecasting of seasonal streamflow in an agricultural watershed

Our paper on dynamical statistical forecasting of seasonal streamflow has just been published in Climate Dynamics!

See the paper here and the associated EGU poster here.Raccoon

Slater, L.J., Villarini, G., Bradley, A., Vecchi G. (in press) A dynamical statistical framework for seasonal streamflow forecasting in an agricultural watershed,  Climate Dynamics. doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3794-7

AGU 2015

On Fri. 18 December 2015, 13:40 – 18:00, I will present a “Diagnosis of North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) skill for predicting floods and droughts over the continental USA” at the American Geophysical Union Fall meeting (session  H53A).


The poster can be downloaded from ResearchGate here

New paper: Hydrologic versus geomorphic drivers of flood hazard

Slater maps

Our paper titled Hydrologic versus geomorphic drivers of flood hazard – which separates and quantifies the effects of trends in streamflow and trends in channel capacity on flood hazards – has just been published in Geophysical Research Letters. The detailed methods can be found in the supplementary materials.  An article was recently released on this work on the Flooding and Coastal Erosion Risk management network (