I am a Lecturer at Loughborough University and my research focuses on understanding and predicting changes in floods and fluvial systems in the context of contemporary shifts in climate, agricultural practices and urbanisation. My approach is statistical and computational; I use a combination of climatic and land cover information to disentangle the different drivers of flooding and fluvial change across a variety of climates and land use types. Using ensemble global climate model outputs I also develop probabilistic streamflow forecasts over a range of timescales to assess how floods and fluvial systems may change over time. I have a keen interest in data science and in developing new, interdisciplinary methods for understanding and projecting fluvial and hydro-climatic change.
New paper titled To what extent have changes in channel capacity contributed to flood hazard trends in England and Wales? has just been published in Earth Surface Processes and Landforms. doi: 10.1002/esp.39
On Fri. 18 December 2015, 13:40 – 18:00, I will present a “Diagnosis of North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) skill for predicting floods and droughts over the continental USA” at the American Geophysical Union Fall meeting (session H53A).
The poster can be downloaded from ResearchGate here
The Environment Agency has just launched a blog (https://eadag.wordpress.com/) for the data advisory group (EADAG). The blog is still in its infancy, but will most likely be used to host:
- Regular information regarding recently released and upcoming datasets
- A starting point for “finding and using EA data”
- Information provided by EA to support the group, including the datasets list, revenue and income (if and when these are available)
- EA open data presentations
- Contact details for the group
I help maintain the blog, so do get in touch if you have any suggestions.
On Tuesday 18th November, I attended the inaugural meeting of the EA’s Data Advisory Group. Surprisingly, many members of the group (including myself) were interested in hydrometric data for flood hazard assessment. The EA explained that they are committed to publishing as much of their data as possible, and making it open access to the public under the Open Government Licence (OGL). So far, 101 of their 17,000 datasets have been published. The difficulty is prioritising what data should be released first, given the difficulties associated with preparing the data for release. Comments and suggestions for the EADAG can be shared via the EA’s website, twitter feed (@dataenvagency), or email (email@example.com).